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Radical Fed rate hike decision? ! July will also raise interest rates by 75 basis points?What will happen to gold?

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Gold of various weights and sizes sit at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in this arranged photograph in London, U.K., on Wednesday, July 29, 2020. Gold held its ground after a record-setting rally as investors awaited the outcome of a Federal Reserve meeting amid expectations policy makers will remain dovish, potentially spurring more gains. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

隔夜市场回顾(2022.6.15)周三,在经济数据方面,市场将会重点关注美国5月的零售销售数据,以及周四凌晨将会发布的美联储政策声明。

需要注意的是,投资者当前已经大幅提升了FOMC将会加息75个基点,而不是50个基点的可能性,根据英为财情Investing.com的美联储利率观测器显示,美国利率市场预计美联储周三加息75个基点的可能性高达96.7%,大幅高于上周的4.7%。此外,包括高盛在内的一些投行表示,他们现在预计6月和7月都将加息75个基点。

全球金市:黄金周二在区间交易中由升转跌,最低触及1804.98美元/盎司,为5月17日以来新低,收报1808.21美元/盎司,因为美元重拾升势并再创20年新高,投资者对美联储积极加息的押注削弱了黄金的避险吸引力。截至周二收盘,美国黄金期货结算价为1813.50美元,下跌1%。

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所有交易均涉及风险,以上分析谨供参考。下单务必设置好手数以及切记设置止损。

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美元面临关键支撑考验,金价站在十字路口?

周五(11月25日)亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1756.59美元/盎司,因为感恩节假期,周四欧美时段金价窄幅震荡,交投比较清淡,不过受到鸽派美联储会议纪要的持续影响,美元指数周四仍然收跌,为连续三个交易日下跌,金价周四则小幅收涨,收报1755.27美元/盎司。 目前美元指数仍有进一步下行风险,有望给金价提供进一步上涨机会,但美元指数下方接近200日均线105.32附近强支撑,11月15日触及的逾三个月低点(105.30)支撑也在该位置附近,需要重点关注。如果美元指数跌破200日均线,料将给金价提供强劲的上涨动能,如果美元指数在200日均线附近获得支撑并展开反弹,则会加大金价的下跌风险。 周四的基本面相对清淡,感恩节假期,周五为感恩节翌日,没有重要经济数据出炉,多数交易日仍会休假,美国金融市场普遍会提前休市,市场观望情绪也比较浓,整体交投空间可能会受到限制。

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