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LIVE ANALYSIS

黄金市场分析:美国4月CPI略高于预期 黄金小幅反弹

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周三20:30公布的美国4月未季调CPI年率录得8.3%,较前值的8.50%回落,但高于预期的8.10%。数据公布后,现货黄金走出深V走势,短线下挫15美元最低触及1834.83美元,之后收复全部失地,并反弹至1850关口上方。 
技术图形上,黄金昨日下探回升收阳,亚盘惯性下探触及年线1832支撑启稳整理,欧美盘伴随二次回踩再回升收在高位,日线收盘一根中阳线,最高至1857.90美元|盎司。日线结构双阴配合单阳反弹修正,从结构而言,目前仍处于向下趋势当中,虽有反弹,但目前还不足以判定是反转。短线4小时图由于走出二次下探回升。短线不排除进行反弹拉锯,再次下行要等回吐昨日的空间,破低之后才能进一步延续,不然短线容易维持在低点上方进行修正。当然目前的空间也谈不上反转,日内短线先当作震荡思路对待。

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黄金交易提醒:美联储决议来袭,警惕多空双杀!

周三(2月1日)亚市盘初,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于1927美元/盎司附近。隔夜金价探底回升,虽然上周出炉的美国四季度GDP数据增强了鹰派预期,再加上月末仓位调整因素,美元指数周二一度反弹至近两周高位附近,金价则一度跌至1900整数关口附近,但美国第四季劳动力成本增幅低于预期,令鸽派预期有所回升,吸引逢低涌入金市,帮助金价扭跌为涨,收盘交投于1928美元/盎司附近。 本交易日市场目光将聚集美联储利率决议,市场普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点,但对于美联储的鹰鸽态度还存在一定的分歧。一方面,美联储可能强化将利率较长时间维持在5%以上,以更好的控制通胀水平,但另一方面,市场怀疑美联储可能会向外界传递将在5月份中止加息的信号。

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