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LIVE ANALYSIS

非农就业报告强劲欧元兑美元即将创新低?

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阻力位1:1.09000

阻力位2:1.09373

支撑位1:1.08495

支撑位2:1.08000

由于上周美国公布的3月份非农就业报告表现强劲,继续为美联储在5月会议上大幅加息50个基点的预期提供支持,而根据CME的“联储观察”工具显示,美联储5月加息50个基点的可能性接近75%。受美联储强劲加息以抑制尚未成功抑制通胀的这种市场预盼,美元指数恢复强势,隔夜市场上再创下今年以来的高位,盘中去到99.53。而欧元兑美元则出现四连阴,盘中一度低落至1.0900。目前D1图表,RSI已处于下跌趋势。MACD指标多头交易逐渐褪去,空头交易量逐渐成型。H1图表RSI已处于超卖区域建议可先等待回调在选择入场。相对的MACD空头交易量也已经形成。只需等待价格的回调将会有很大几率迎来一波跌势或再创新低。

所有交易均涉及风险,以上分析谨供参考。下单务必设置好手数以及切记设置止损。

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Daily Market Analysis

黄金交易提醒:美联储决议来袭,警惕多空双杀!

周三(2月1日)亚市盘初,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于1927美元/盎司附近。隔夜金价探底回升,虽然上周出炉的美国四季度GDP数据增强了鹰派预期,再加上月末仓位调整因素,美元指数周二一度反弹至近两周高位附近,金价则一度跌至1900整数关口附近,但美国第四季劳动力成本增幅低于预期,令鸽派预期有所回升,吸引逢低涌入金市,帮助金价扭跌为涨,收盘交投于1928美元/盎司附近。 本交易日市场目光将聚集美联储利率决议,市场普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点,但对于美联储的鹰鸽态度还存在一定的分歧。一方面,美联储可能强化将利率较长时间维持在5%以上,以更好的控制通胀水平,但另一方面,市场怀疑美联储可能会向外界传递将在5月份中止加息的信号。

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