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长安期货贵金属早评:逢高沽空为主,注意止盈止损

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美国劳工部最新数据显示,美国8月份新增非农就业31.5万,为2021年4月以来最小增幅,但仍高于上市场预期的30万,7月份修正后为增加52.6万。此前,美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上释放“鹰派言论”,他表示美联储将继续采取措施“强力”措施抗击通胀,没有空间可以停下来或暂停,将通胀降至2%仍然是美联储的重点目标。美联储其他官员也陆续释放鹰派言论,美债收益率及美元指数高位运行且仍或存上行空间,COMEX黄金和白银非商业净多头持仓明显减少,美联储9月加息75个基点概率仍存。此外,欧元区8月制造业PMI数据落至荣枯线下方,显示出在欧洲国家通胀不断刷新历史新高背景下,欧洲央行政策制定者显然将应对通胀放在了比经济增长更重要的地位,欧央行9月加息50个基点概率仍然较高。总体来看,金价仍或面临显著下行压力。

综上并结合技术面,贵金属期价或承压运行,投资者可以逢高沽空为主,注意止盈止损。

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美联储激进货币政策担忧加剧,地缘紧张局势或助推金价飙升

金价周四持稳,因美元下跌抵消了美债收益率上升以及对美联储激进货币政策的担忧加剧的影响。周四现货黄金收涨0.03%,报1660.20美元/盎司。9月29日公布的数据显示,美国第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率确认为萎缩0.6%。数据公布后,金价下跌。投资者还评估了一项美国就业数据,该数据显示,上周初请失业金人数降至19.3万人,预期为21.5万人。美国9月就业人口预计增加27.5万人,尽管低于8月的31.5万人,但仍是一个稳健的数字。他说,大多数证据表明,尽管经济活动增长疲软,但美国雇主9月份继续增加就业岗位,然而,由于美联储的加息举措,就业增长大幅放缓似乎不可避免。美国9月份就业报告将于10月7日公布本周,几位美联储官员重申了联储激进加息以对抗不断飙升的通胀的承诺。 

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Ultimate Pinnacle Limited is a limited liability company established in Belize as an operating subsidiary within the Lepanto Group of companies (collectively “Ultimate Pinnacle”) under Registration No. 173474 and having its registered address at No. 1 Corner of Hutson Street and Marine Parade, Belize City, Belize.

Lepanto Financial Advisers Limited is the holding company of Ultimate Pinnacle Limited. (Address: Fifth Floor, Suite 23, 63/66 Hatton Garden, London, England, EC1N 8LE). All services and products accessible through the site www.upfxtrade.com are provided by Ultimate Pinnacle Limited with the registered address Suite 305, Griffith Corporate Center P.O Box 1510, Beachmont Kingstown St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
Ultimate Pinnacle Limited is a limited liability company established in Belize as an operating subsidiary within the Lepanto Group of companies (collectively “Ultimate Pinnacle”) under Registration No. 173474 and having its registered address at No. 1 Corner of Hutson Street and Marine Parade, Belize City, Belize.

Lepanto Group Pty Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission, ASIC (ACN: 072 424 830)

Ultimate Pinnacle Limited is a company authorised and regulated by the National Futures Association (NFA ID: 0537666)

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