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金融期货、金属期货及农产品期货早评

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贵金属:非农就业维持修复趋势 加息预期升温施压金银;
假期期间,金银维持震荡,COMEX黄金期货下跌0.04%报1853.9美元/盎司,COMEX白银期货下跌0.16% 报21.94美元/盎司。

美国5月非农就业新增39万人,维持修复态势且好于预期,劳动参与率略升至62.3%,就业市场仍处于高度紧俏状态,薪资上行压力继续缓解时薪周薪同比涨幅均收窄。随着近期美联储官员和拜登的控通胀表态的反复加强,市场紧缩预期升温施压金银。

在6月和7月加息50bp基本被锚定后,市场对9月加息预期近期自25bp升温至50bp。短期内关注本周CPI数据和下周美联储会议,若紧缩预期持续贵金属将承压。但美国经济高位放缓压力仍存,通胀预期仍处高位提供支撑,金银后市短期内或以震荡为主,技术上关注外盘黄金200日均线。

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国际金价小幅走强,投资者须关注两大风险事件

周三(11月30日),国际金价小幅上涨,受助于美元下跌。投资者主要关注美联储主席鲍威尔即将发表的讲话,以了解美联储未来货币政策路径。鲍威尔讲话前还将公布的ADP就业数据也受到关注。 北京时间15:15,现货黄金上涨0.35%至1755.71美元/盎司;COMEX期金主力合约上涨0.29%至1768.9美元/盎司;美元指数下跌0.21%至106.581。 美联储主席鲍威尔将在北京时间周四(12月1日)2:30就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话,投资者将从中寻找有关美联储明年加息计划的任何新线索。

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