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美联储官员“鹰”气逼人,金价退守1620,多头还有机会吗?

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周二(9月27日)亚洲时段吗,现货黄金震荡反弹,一度回升至1630关口上方,对全球经济衰退的担忧、对地缘局势的担忧、美国股市和全球多数股市的持续下跌,给金价提供了避险支撑,美元小幅回调也吸引逢低买盘支撑,不过,美联储官员讲话非常鹰派,美债收益率持续走高,全球多数央行官员释放进一步加息信号,令多头有所顾忌,或将限制金价的反弹空间。

短线而言,本交易日需要关注美国8月耐用品订单数据,市场预期比较悲观,短线有望给金价提供反弹机会,不过,本交易日仍有多位美联储官员发表讲话,预计会重申进一步加息控制通胀的观点,仍需提防金价反弹受阻甚至是震荡下探的可能性。

另外,需要提醒的是,美元和美债也吸引了大量了避险资金,可能会削弱黄金的避险买盘。

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美元面临关键支撑考验,金价站在十字路口?

周五(11月25日)亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1756.59美元/盎司,因为感恩节假期,周四欧美时段金价窄幅震荡,交投比较清淡,不过受到鸽派美联储会议纪要的持续影响,美元指数周四仍然收跌,为连续三个交易日下跌,金价周四则小幅收涨,收报1755.27美元/盎司。 目前美元指数仍有进一步下行风险,有望给金价提供进一步上涨机会,但美元指数下方接近200日均线105.32附近强支撑,11月15日触及的逾三个月低点(105.30)支撑也在该位置附近,需要重点关注。如果美元指数跌破200日均线,料将给金价提供强劲的上涨动能,如果美元指数在200日均线附近获得支撑并展开反弹,则会加大金价的下跌风险。 周四的基本面相对清淡,感恩节假期,周五为感恩节翌日,没有重要经济数据出炉,多数交易日仍会休假,美国金融市场普遍会提前休市,市场观望情绪也比较浓,整体交投空间可能会受到限制。

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