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美联储如期加息25基点,美元走低股市大涨,黄金跌破1900后大幅反弹

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昨日周三,美元指数下跌,此前美联储趋转鹰派政策,但并未带来可能会进一步助力美元长达数周的涨势动能的更大鹰派惊喜。
现货黄金扭转跌势,幅度约9美元,一度跌破1900关口,因美债收益率在美联储启动2018年以来首次加息后回吐部分涨幅。
标普500指数创下2020年4月以来最大的两天涨幅;美联储自2018年以来首次加息之后,美联储主席鲍威尔就经济增长前景的讲话基调乐观。鲍威尔表示,经济非常强劲,能够应对政策收紧,经济衰退的可能性“不是特别高”。
美国国债收益率上升,短端利率领涨。与美联储决策日相关的互换交易一度显示,美联储在未来两次会议上至少加息75个基点,意味着其中一次的加息幅度会超过通常的25基点。

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黄金交易提醒:美联储决议来袭,警惕多空双杀!

周三(2月1日)亚市盘初,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于1927美元/盎司附近。隔夜金价探底回升,虽然上周出炉的美国四季度GDP数据增强了鹰派预期,再加上月末仓位调整因素,美元指数周二一度反弹至近两周高位附近,金价则一度跌至1900整数关口附近,但美国第四季劳动力成本增幅低于预期,令鸽派预期有所回升,吸引逢低涌入金市,帮助金价扭跌为涨,收盘交投于1928美元/盎司附近。 本交易日市场目光将聚集美联储利率决议,市场普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点,但对于美联储的鹰鸽态度还存在一定的分歧。一方面,美联储可能强化将利率较长时间维持在5%以上,以更好的控制通胀水平,但另一方面,市场怀疑美联储可能会向外界传递将在5月份中止加息的信号。

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