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美联储周四料仅加息75个基点,金价有望继续反弹

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在经历了一次大规模的抛售之后,金价一直盘整在每盎司1700美元的水平。分析师称,美联储即将公布的利率决定可能会给金价带来新的走势。

今年下半年的开局令人失望,7月份金价下跌近6%,原因是美元指数接近20年来的高点,投资者纷纷逃往美元避险。

一个担忧是即将到来的经济衰退,分析师和投资者仍在就经济衰退的时间点争论不休。Moya说:“美国经济的许多方面都在走弱,这就是为什么许多人预计通胀的全面影响将在明年年中引发经济衰退的原因。今年晚些时候存在经济衰退的风险,但这不应该是基本情况。在今年剩余时间的每次会议上加息都很容易,但在5月的会议上加息仍需要令人信服的证据。”

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国际金价小幅走强,投资者须关注两大风险事件

周三(11月30日),国际金价小幅上涨,受助于美元下跌。投资者主要关注美联储主席鲍威尔即将发表的讲话,以了解美联储未来货币政策路径。鲍威尔讲话前还将公布的ADP就业数据也受到关注。 北京时间15:15,现货黄金上涨0.35%至1755.71美元/盎司;COMEX期金主力合约上涨0.29%至1768.9美元/盎司;美元指数下跌0.21%至106.581。 美联储主席鲍威尔将在北京时间周四(12月1日)2:30就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话,投资者将从中寻找有关美联储明年加息计划的任何新线索。

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