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美元涨势如虹,俄乌“展开对话”,市场看涨情绪降温

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周一(4月29日)亚洲时段,现货黄金在近两周低位附近徘徊,目前交投于1928美元附近,俄谈判代表证实与乌进行了“几次长时间对话”,令避险情绪降温,而美联储加速收紧政策的迹象提振了美国国债收益率,帮助美元指数周线三连阳,屡次刷新逾两年高点,令金价录得三月中旬以来最大单周跌幅。调查显示,市场对黄金后市的看涨情绪明显下降。

基本面主要利空:
美联储5月加息50个基点的概率接近100%
美元指数创逾两年高位
俄谈判代表证实与乌进行了“几次长时间对话”
联合国秘书长周二将会见普京,周四会见泽连斯基
基本面主要利多:
美国国务卿和防长据称已抵达基辅,乌克兰将要求提供重型武器
美国三大股指跌幅均超2.5%,不佳企业绩报和加息预期令投资者紧张不安
最近一周美元净多仓为129.1亿美元,连降第三周

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Daily Market Analysis

美联储激进货币政策担忧加剧,地缘紧张局势或助推金价飙升

金价周四持稳,因美元下跌抵消了美债收益率上升以及对美联储激进货币政策的担忧加剧的影响。周四现货黄金收涨0.03%,报1660.20美元/盎司。9月29日公布的数据显示,美国第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率确认为萎缩0.6%。数据公布后,金价下跌。投资者还评估了一项美国就业数据,该数据显示,上周初请失业金人数降至19.3万人,预期为21.5万人。美国9月就业人口预计增加27.5万人,尽管低于8月的31.5万人,但仍是一个稳健的数字。他说,大多数证据表明,尽管经济活动增长疲软,但美国雇主9月份继续增加就业岗位,然而,由于美联储的加息举措,就业增长大幅放缓似乎不可避免。美国9月份就业报告将于10月7日公布本周,几位美联储官员重申了联储激进加息以对抗不断飙升的通胀的承诺。 

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Lepanto Financial Advisers Limited is the holding company of Ultimate Pinnacle Limited. (Address: Fifth Floor, Suite 23, 63/66 Hatton Garden, London, England, EC1N 8LE). All services and products accessible through the site www.upfxtrade.com are provided by Ultimate Pinnacle Limited with the registered address Suite 305, Griffith Corporate Center P.O Box 1510, Beachmont Kingstown St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
Ultimate Pinnacle Limited is a limited liability company established in Belize as an operating subsidiary within the Lepanto Group of companies (collectively “Ultimate Pinnacle”) under Registration No. 173474 and having its registered address at No. 1 Corner of Hutson Street and Marine Parade, Belize City, Belize.

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