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现货黄金价格跌破1700美元 美联储加息预期骤升

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数据显示美国服务业活动于8月继续扩张,提振美元走强,令黄金承压。 ISM非制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)8月份达56.9,高于预期的55.1和7月份的56.7。

该数据加上上周积极的非农就业报告,表明美国经济的活力有所恢复,为美联储提供了更多大幅加息的空间。

受此提振,美元指数升0.25%至110.49,早前一度升至,110.69,创 20 多年新高,而美元指数期货 也有所走强。 10 年期美国国债收益率则创两个月新高,一度站上3.36%,短期国债利率也走高。

投资者现在预计美联储将于9月加息0.75厘的概率为72%

随着美联储于今年开始加息,黄金价格已从2022年的峰值大幅下跌。虽然全球经济可能放缓,但黄金没有从不断增长的避险需求中获益。其他贵金属价格也于今年走低。

工业金属中,铜价结束本周早些时候的强劲升势。铜期货跌%,此前虽然全球最大的铜进口国中国表示将推出更多刺激措施,但低迷的全球经济前景仍然抑制了铜价。

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美联储激进货币政策担忧加剧,地缘紧张局势或助推金价飙升

金价周四持稳,因美元下跌抵消了美债收益率上升以及对美联储激进货币政策的担忧加剧的影响。周四现货黄金收涨0.03%,报1660.20美元/盎司。9月29日公布的数据显示,美国第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率确认为萎缩0.6%。数据公布后,金价下跌。投资者还评估了一项美国就业数据,该数据显示,上周初请失业金人数降至19.3万人,预期为21.5万人。美国9月就业人口预计增加27.5万人,尽管低于8月的31.5万人,但仍是一个稳健的数字。他说,大多数证据表明,尽管经济活动增长疲软,但美国雇主9月份继续增加就业岗位,然而,由于美联储的加息举措,就业增长大幅放缓似乎不可避免。美国9月份就业报告将于10月7日公布本周,几位美联储官员重申了联储激进加息以对抗不断飙升的通胀的承诺。 

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Lepanto Financial Advisers Limited is the holding company of Ultimate Pinnacle Limited. (Address: Fifth Floor, Suite 23, 63/66 Hatton Garden, London, England, EC1N 8LE). All services and products accessible through the site www.upfxtrade.com are provided by Ultimate Pinnacle Limited with the registered address Suite 305, Griffith Corporate Center P.O Box 1510, Beachmont Kingstown St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
Ultimate Pinnacle Limited is a limited liability company established in Belize as an operating subsidiary within the Lepanto Group of companies (collectively “Ultimate Pinnacle”) under Registration No. 173474 and having its registered address at No. 1 Corner of Hutson Street and Marine Parade, Belize City, Belize.

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