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LIVE ANALYSIS

机构称未来几年全球黄金产量将上升,但风险依存!

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根据行业共识数据,2021年全球金矿黄金产量达到约3580公吨,比2020年(3480公吨)高出约3%。中国是最大的黄金生产国,其次是澳大利亚、俄罗斯和美国。

澳大利亚政府工业、科学、能源和资源部(DISER)在其最近的报告中表示,受中国、澳大利亚、北美和西非产量增加的推动,预计2022年全球金矿产量将增长2.2%,至3660吨。

中国是世界上最大的黄金生产国,随着山东省大多数矿山恢复生产,中国的黄金产量预计将在2022年上升。 

数据显示,在世界第二大黄金生产国澳大利亚,一系列稳定的项目预计将使该国的金矿产量在2022年达到308吨。

加拿大和美国的产量预计将在2022年分别增长19%和9.8%,达到225吨和201吨。由于自2020年4月以来一直处于维护和保养的Porgera金矿重新启动,预计到2022年,巴布亚新几内亚的产量将增加31%,达到55吨。

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美元反弹打压金价,非农来袭,警惕空头“乘胜追击”

亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1916.20美元/盎司附近,因为隔夜金价跌幅较大,技术面存在一些反弹调整需求。周四欧洲央行如期加息50个基点,但欧洲央行行长拉加德的讲话并不鹰派,美元指数大幅反弹,令金价大跌近40美元。 周四出炉的美国初请失业金人数低于市场预期,降至九个月最低,也给美元提供支撑,在周五非农数据公布前,一些黄金多头获利了结,对拖累金价表现。 High Ridge Futures金属交易主管David Meger表示,对金市的基本支撑依然强劲,但市场小幅回调可能是由于在明天的美国月度就业数据之前出现一些获利了结。 本交易日市场目光将聚集美国1月份非农就业报告,虽然预期并不乐观,但从其他相关数据来看,非农新增就业人数好于预期的可能性较大,鉴于黄金技术面见顶信号进一步增强,投资者需要提防金价短线的进一步下行风险。

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