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国际金价续反弹,但投资者迫切期盼美联储明确这一点

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国际金价因美元走软而延续隔夜反弹势头。但投资者在美联储公布关键政策声明前保持谨慎。该声明可能就未来加息步伐给出新的线索。

“如果美联储对未来放慢加息节奏作出任何暗示并导致美元走软,那么金价回升至1670美元应该不会太难,甚至会在接下来的几个交易日中进一步升向1680美元。”

美联储将在北京时间周四(11月3日)2:00公布新政,铁定连续第四次加息75个基点。主席鲍威尔将在半个小时后召开新闻发布会,投资者寻求美联储未来可能放慢紧缩步伐的线索。

值得注意的是,美联储政策制定者对12月加息幅度犹豫不决,成为交易商关注的重要催化剂。因此,美联储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会对于观察金市新动力至关重要。

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美元面临关键支撑考验,金价站在十字路口?

周五(11月25日)亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1756.59美元/盎司,因为感恩节假期,周四欧美时段金价窄幅震荡,交投比较清淡,不过受到鸽派美联储会议纪要的持续影响,美元指数周四仍然收跌,为连续三个交易日下跌,金价周四则小幅收涨,收报1755.27美元/盎司。 目前美元指数仍有进一步下行风险,有望给金价提供进一步上涨机会,但美元指数下方接近200日均线105.32附近强支撑,11月15日触及的逾三个月低点(105.30)支撑也在该位置附近,需要重点关注。如果美元指数跌破200日均线,料将给金价提供强劲的上涨动能,如果美元指数在200日均线附近获得支撑并展开反弹,则会加大金价的下跌风险。 周四的基本面相对清淡,感恩节假期,周五为感恩节翌日,没有重要经济数据出炉,多数交易日仍会休假,美国金融市场普遍会提前休市,市场观望情绪也比较浓,整体交投空间可能会受到限制。

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