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国际金价延续反弹,投资者关注日内两件大事

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周四(9月8日),国际金价延续反弹,美元指数暂停上行脚步,限制了金价跌势。谨慎的投资者等待新一期欧洲央行利率决议和美联储主席鲍威尔日内稍后即将发表的评论。

北京时间15:06,现货黄金上涨0.26%至1722.43美元/盎司;COMEX期金主力合约%上涨0.33至美1733.5元/盎司;美元指数上浮0.09%至109.655。

金价隔夜大涨近1%,重新站上1700美元关口。避险情绪盛行有助于限制避险贵金属的进一步下跌,至少目前是这样。快速上调的利率加剧了经济衰退担忧,打压投资者情绪,股市整体走弱基调就体现了这一点。

而由于价格压力不断升级,家庭采购同样数量商品被迫需要更大支出,因此家庭推迟了耐用品需求。迫使市场参与者暂时削减美元多头头寸,美指隔夜收跌逾0.6%。

尽管如此,芝商所的最新数据显示,隔夜黄金期货未平仓合约下降约0.16万手,成交量下降约3.15万手。价格上涨之际未平仓合约和成交量萎缩,使得短期内金价上涨潜力受限。空头将瞄准2022年低点1680美元(7月21日)。

欧洲央行将在北京时间周四20:15公布新政,预计大幅加息75个基点以应对通胀飙升。美联储主席鲍威尔将在稍后卡托研究所举办的货币政策相关会议,这可能是他在9月20日至21日政策会议之前的最后一次公开讲话。

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Daily Market Analysis

黄金交易提醒:美联储决议来袭,警惕多空双杀!

周三(2月1日)亚市盘初,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于1927美元/盎司附近。隔夜金价探底回升,虽然上周出炉的美国四季度GDP数据增强了鹰派预期,再加上月末仓位调整因素,美元指数周二一度反弹至近两周高位附近,金价则一度跌至1900整数关口附近,但美国第四季劳动力成本增幅低于预期,令鸽派预期有所回升,吸引逢低涌入金市,帮助金价扭跌为涨,收盘交投于1928美元/盎司附近。 本交易日市场目光将聚集美联储利率决议,市场普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点,但对于美联储的鹰鸽态度还存在一定的分歧。一方面,美联储可能强化将利率较长时间维持在5%以上,以更好的控制通胀水平,但另一方面,市场怀疑美联储可能会向外界传递将在5月份中止加息的信号。

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